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Red34
433625.9
440023.0
915311.3
Blue54
410722.2
709413.2
162215.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7152204060801001203454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#11
25.90.6
26.325.7
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 3.6
22.20.1
21.621.7
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Second
23.00.6
23.522.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.9
End1.2
red by 7.2
1622
#17
15.80.1
15.215.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Third
9153
#25
11.30.6
11.811.2
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 1.9
7094
#19
13.20.1
12.512.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6