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Red79
191212.9
299230.1
804431.6
Blue70
298722.5
45620.2
192712.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785820401001207970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.1
29.529.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End2.1
red by 9.1
22.50.0
22.322.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Second
30.10.1
28.028.2
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
red by 9.8
456
#7
20.20.0
20.020.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Third
1912
#28
12.90.1
10.811.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
red by 0.1
1927
#27
12.80.0
12.612.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7