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Red50
303925.7
22215.7
742818.1
Blue72
410722.2
709413.2
162215.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565240506070805072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#12
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 3.5
22.20.5
21.021.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Second
18.10.0
18.318.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End1.9
red by 2.2
1622
#17
15.80.5
14.715.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Third
2221
#24
5.70.0
5.95.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 7.5
7094
#19
13.20.5
12.012.5
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6