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Red54
586317.0
36413.4
218313.9
Blue60
142113.6
880822.8
401310.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4850203040607080905460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5863
#13
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
blue by 5.8
22.80.3
22.322.6
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Second
2183
#18
13.90.2
13.713.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 0.3
1421
#15
13.60.3
13.113.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
364
#16
13.40.2
13.213.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 3.2
10.30.3
9.810.1
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9