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Red73
281311.8
630514.5
58137.6
Blue98
11423.4
594048.2
1678C14.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7296204060801201401607398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#10
37.60.3
40.941.3
Auto11.5
Teleop20.3
End5.8
blue by 10.7
48.20.6
41.341.9
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End4.6
Second
6305
#30
14.50.3
14.314.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End0.7
blue by 8.9
114
#23
23.40.6
23.524.1
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Third
2813
#38
11.80.3
12.612.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
blue by 2.2
14.01.0
19.120.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsMissed