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Red116
441436.5
95847.4
132357.8
Blue67
1678B16.7
167847.7
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1227205010015020011667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.3
55.055.3
Auto20.3
Teleop30.6
End6.8
red by 10.1
47.70.3
40.840.5
Auto18.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
Second
36.50.3
40.740.9
Auto13.3
Teleop18.8
End4.3
red by 19.8
16.70.5
20.319.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.6
Third
9584
#16
7.40.3
9.39.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 0.2
7.60.5
10.19.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
92%Ensemble oddsEarned68%Ensemble oddsMissed