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Red62
97324.5
1323B30.2
82297.6
Blue70
254B14.8
167128.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52522030406070806270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.4
26.327.7
Auto14.5
Teleop14.9
End0.8
red by 1.4
1671
#17
28.81.7
21.823.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End2.8
Second
973
#8
24.50.8
14.014.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.3
End0.9
red by 9.7
254B
#15
14.82.8
17.220.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
8229
#48
7.61.4
9.010.5
Auto5.5
Teleop1.9
End0.2
red by 0.7
6.92.8
5.68.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed