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Qual 152024 Madtown Throwdown
Red23
54994.8
665720.7
6657B4.3
Blue32
592412.0
325614.9
876817.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504820304060702332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6657
#26
20.71.6
24.2→22.5
Auto11.6
Teleop7.8
End1.2
red by 3.2
8768
#28
17.51.3
18.0→16.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Second
5499
#41
4.82.7
10.2→7.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 10.1
3256
#29
14.91.3
16.3→15.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End0.5
Third
6657B
#36
4.32.7
8.3→5.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 7.7
5924
#34
12.01.3
11.9→10.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed