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Red85
581B27.3
1323C20.5
541921.4
Blue59
196718.4
581722.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77410501001508559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581B
#20
27.31.0
20.421.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End0.8
red by 5.2
5817
#33
22.11.2
20.121.3
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
Second
5419
#22
21.40.6
19.219.8
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End3.3
red by 2.9
1967
#19
18.41.2
14.115.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
20.51.0
26.127.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End1.2
red by 14.6
6.02.0
6.88.8
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed