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Red50
592412.0
581C22.6
1678B16.7
Blue33
630514.5
1678C14.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464735405055605033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581C
#27
22.60.9
15.816.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.8
red by 8.1
6305
#30
14.50.6
16.315.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Second
16.70.9
14.415.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.6
red by 2.7
14.01.0
19.818.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
5924
#34
12.00.6
11.412.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.8
End-0.2
red by 5.1
6.91.0
6.55.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed