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Red68
254B14.8
1323B30.2
4414B17.6
Blue67
132357.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68884060801001201401606867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.4
29.830.2
Auto14.5
Teleop14.9
End0.8
blue by 27.6
57.80.7
63.562.8
Auto20.3
Teleop30.6
End6.8
Second
17.60.3
17.417.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End-0.3
red by 11.6
6.01.1
6.75.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
Third
254B
#15
14.80.4
16.717.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 10.7
4.11.1
7.36.2
Auto2.5
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed