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Red56
97121.7
5940B10.4
876817.5
Blue73
254B14.8
630514.5
441436.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6081020401001201405673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#21
21.70.7
23.823.1
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3
blue by 14.7
36.50.4
37.837.4
Auto13.3
Teleop18.8
End4.3
Second
8768
#28
17.50.7
19.618.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End1.4
red by 2.7
254B
#15
14.80.5
17.116.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
10.41.0
13.312.3
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End0.9
blue by 4.0
6305
#30
14.50.4
15.715.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed