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Red105
541921.4
661932.9
581C22.6
Blue9
281311.8
95847.4
1323C20.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705601001501059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.92.9
25.928.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.0
End1.7
red by 12.4
20.54.2
25.721.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Second
581C
#27
22.64.2
16.720.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.8
red by 10.7
2813
#38
11.82.9
16.313.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
Third
5419
#22
21.42.9
18.921.8
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End3.3
red by 14.0
9584
#16
7.42.9
10.37.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed