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Red34
1678C14.0
581722.1
Blue72
50269.3
213529.0
665720.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606602040801001201403472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#33
22.11.7
23.822.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
blue by 6.9
29.00.8
28.729.4
Auto10.6
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Second
14.02.5
18.816.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 6.6
6657
#26
20.70.8
19.920.7
Auto11.6
Teleop7.8
End1.2
Third
7.62.5
11.99.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 1.7
5026
#46
9.30.8
10.010.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed