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Red87
196718.4
167128.8
841B21.3
Blue96
132357.8
325614.9
207331.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69130501001502008796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#17
28.80.2
30.029.9
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End2.8
blue by 29.0
57.81.1
62.861.7
Auto20.3
Teleop30.6
End6.8
Second
841B
#24
21.30.2
22.322.2
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 9.9
31.21.1
32.030.9
Auto11.6
Teleop18.1
End1.6
Third
1967
#19
18.40.2
16.916.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 3.5
3256
#29
14.91.1
16.114.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsEarned