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Red21
167128.8
325614.9
Blue104
594048.2
971B12.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606320408010012021104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#17
28.82.2
24.021.8
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End2.8
blue by 19.5
48.21.8
39.541.3
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End4.6
Second
3256
#29
14.92.2
18.516.3
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End0.5
red by 2.0
971B
#32
12.90.6
12.913.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End0.2
Third
4.34.0
4.38.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 3.3
7.62.4
7.610.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed