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Red28
876817.5
541921.4
Blue43
1678B16.7
82297.6
630514.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584702040801001201402843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#22
21.41.9
21.119.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End3.3
red by 4.7
16.73.6
16.720.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.6
Second
8768
#28
17.51.9
19.918.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End1.4
red by 3.0
6305
#30
14.50.1
14.414.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Third
6.00.9
6.06.8
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
blue by 1.6
8229
#48
7.61.5
7.69.0
Auto5.5
Teleop1.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed