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Red50
665720.7
95847.4
841B21.3
Blue44
135110.5
630514.5
167128.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546402040801001201405044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841B
#24
21.30.0
22.222.2
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 7.5
1671
#17
28.80.8
29.929.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End2.8
Second
6657
#26
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto11.6
Teleop7.8
End1.2
red by 6.2
6305
#30
14.50.8
15.314.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Third
9584
#16
7.40.0
7.47.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 3.1
1351
#42
10.50.8
11.410.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed