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Red125
207331.2
661932.9
594048.2
Blue83
25440.1
1678B16.7
581B27.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122895010015020012583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.2
47.248.4
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End4.6
red by 8.1
254
#9
40.10.1
39.639.6
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End2.2
Second
32.91.2
28.830.0
Auto8.2
Teleop23.0
End1.7
red by 5.6
581B
#20
27.30.1
27.827.7
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End0.8
Third
31.21.2
30.932.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.1
End1.6
red by 14.5
16.70.1
16.816.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed