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Red24
315817.2
61709.4
68324.7
Blue42
51338.6
463527.1
77254.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353901020305060702442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#9Sur
17.20.9
12.511.6
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
blue by 9.9
27.10.8
20.321.1
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Second
6170
#20
9.40.9
9.58.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.9
red by 0.8
5133
#17
8.60.8
8.18.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
Third
6832
#38
4.70.9
10.29.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End1.2
red by 0.2
7725
#42Sur
4.50.8
6.67.3
Auto0.8
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed