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Red41
742121.7
477510.6
928012.1
Blue34
379410.4
440020.3
664713.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4241203050604134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.6
16.315.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 1.3
4400
#12
20.30.5
15.815.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.9
Second
9280
#13Sur
12.10.6
10.09.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
blue by 0.9
6647
#7Sur
13.00.5
12.812.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
4775
#29
10.60.6
10.59.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End0.7
red by 0.2
3794
#35
10.40.5
9.69.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed