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Red25
58878.4
95937.2
93017.9
Blue54
61065.9
347826.5
47357.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353725304045502554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5887
#14
8.40.8
12.411.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End0.9
blue by 18.0
26.51.5
20.021.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
9301
#33
7.90.8
11.610.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End1.7
red by 0.3
4735
#27
7.61.5
5.67.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
9593
#43
7.20.8
8.27.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
red by 1.3
6106
#22
5.91.5
7.89.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed