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Red46
90654.2
75468.0
352218.7
Blue17
66527.5
458411.8
59327.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322301040506070804617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.71.2
12.113.2
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 6.9
4584
#24
11.80.6
7.67.0
Auto6.8
Teleop2.6
End2.4
Second
7546
#37
8.01.2
8.910.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
red by 0.4
5932
#19
7.60.6
6.76.1
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Third
9065
#31
4.21.2
7.38.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 3.4
6652
#28
7.50.6
8.17.5
Auto1.3
Teleop5.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed