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Red20
47828.6
93017.9
40106.4
Blue27
458411.8
601716.8
90654.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35280102040506070802027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4782
#30
8.61.4
10.38.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
blue by 8.1
16.80.1
10.410.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Second
9301
#33
7.91.4
10.89.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 3.9
4584
#24
11.80.1
7.07.1
Auto6.8
Teleop2.6
End2.4
Third
4010
#44
6.41.4
9.48.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.7
red by 2.3
9065
#31
4.20.1
8.58.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed