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Red38
61065.9
595917.3
352218.7
Blue24
68324.7
35268.8
92827.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36290102040506070803824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.5
13.213.7
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 9.9
3526
#26
8.80.6
11.410.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Second
5959
#10
17.30.5
9.19.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
red by 9.7
9282
#36
7.60.6
6.76.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
6106
#22
5.90.5
9.39.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.7
red by 1.2
6832
#38
4.70.6
9.38.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed