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Red40
59327.6
47357.6
594819.6
Blue24
57166.8
64839.5
928012.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829101520253540454024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.61.6
12.313.9
Auto9.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
red by 7.4
9280
#13
12.10.2
9.49.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Second
5932
#19
7.61.6
6.17.7
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.0
blue by 1.9
6483
#23
9.50.2
9.08.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
4735
#27
7.61.6
7.18.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
red by 0.8
5716
#18
6.80.2
7.57.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed