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Red50
472313.5
347826.5
90536.5
Blue16
477510.6
34727.9
43718.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4526010203040506070805016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.3
21.522.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 15.9
4775
#29
10.61.1
9.88.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Second
4723
#15
13.51.3
9.510.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.3
End2.3
red by 5.1
4371
#16
8.41.1
8.47.3
Auto1.0
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Third
9053
#11
6.51.3
7.58.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 1.3
3472
#34
7.91.1
7.26.2
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed