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Red38
440323.4
379410.4
75468.0
Blue49
93017.9
463527.1
87347.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324501020405060703849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.8
13.113.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
blue by 3.7
27.11.1
21.923.0
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Second
3794
#35
10.40.8
8.08.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 2.5
9301
#33
7.91.1
9.410.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Third
7546
#37
8.00.8
9.710.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
red by 0.9
8734
#41
7.01.1
7.68.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed