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Red28
57166.8
664713.0
68324.7
Blue14
58878.4
40106.4
66527.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2929102040502814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.00.0
11.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 4.6
5887
#14
8.41.7
10.28.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Second
5716
#18
6.80.0
7.37.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End1.7
blue by 0.8
6652
#28
7.51.7
6.34.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.8
End0.4
Third
6832
#38
4.70.0
8.78.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 1.7
4010
#44
6.41.7
8.06.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed