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Red48
458411.8
594819.6
43718.4
Blue45
595917.3
477510.6
710215.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3133102040504845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.62.2
13.916.1
Auto9.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
red by 2.3
5959
#10
17.31.7
9.611.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Second
4584
#24
11.82.2
7.19.3
Auto6.8
Teleop2.6
End2.4
blue by 3.5
7102
#21
15.31.7
11.513.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
4371
#16
8.42.2
7.39.5
Auto1.0
Teleop6.8
End0.6
blue by 2.2
4775
#29
10.61.7
8.810.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed