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Red47
34727.9
92827.6
347826.5
Blue48
440323.4
315817.2
61065.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393830354045504748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.3
22.824.1
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 3.1
23.40.4
13.914.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
3472
#34
7.91.3
6.27.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 9.3
17.20.4
11.111.5
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Third
9282
#36
7.61.3
6.17.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.6
red by 1.6
6106
#22
5.90.4
9.810.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed