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Red45
47828.6
90654.2
92133.9
Blue45
64839.5
742121.7
87402.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2731010204050604545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4782
#30
8.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
blue by 13.1
21.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Second
9065
#31
4.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 5.4
6483
#23
9.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
9213
#39
3.9
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.9
red by 1.4
8740
#40
2.5
Auto1.0
Teleop1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed