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Red51
315817.2
90654.2
742121.7
Blue50
352218.7
87347.0
35268.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34311520254045505150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.4
13.114.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 3.0
18.70.2
9.79.9
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
17.21.4
9.511.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
red by 8.4
3526
#26
8.80.2
9.79.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Third
9065
#31
4.21.4
7.48.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 2.8
8734
#41
7.00.2
9.09.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed