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Red16
90536.5
61709.4
92133.9
Blue9
66765.6
92827.6
95937.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322910204050169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6170
#20
9.42.0
9.87.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.9
red by 1.9
9282
#36
7.62.2
9.87.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Second
9053
#11
6.52.0
7.35.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 0.7
9593
#43
7.20.2
7.27.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Third
9213
#39
3.92.0
11.19.1
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.9
blue by 1.7
6676
#32
5.62.2
7.65.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed