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Red46
95937.2
51338.6
440020.3
Blue60
601716.8
35268.8
472313.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323610204050604660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
20.31.6
16.017.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 3.6
16.83.1
10.513.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Second
5133
#17
8.61.6
7.79.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
blue by 4.8
4723
#15
13.53.1
10.813.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Third
9593
#43
7.21.6
6.07.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 1.5
3526
#26
8.83.1
10.813.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed