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Red45
347826.5
352218.7
77254.5
Blue39
928012.1
66765.6
594819.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5034102030406070804539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.9
24.122.2
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 6.9
19.60.4
16.116.6
Auto9.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Second
18.71.9
13.711.9
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 6.6
9280
#13
12.10.4
9.29.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Third
7725
#42
4.51.9
5.94.0
Auto0.8
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 1.0
6676
#32
5.60.4
7.88.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed