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Red62
742121.7
463527.1
57166.8
Blue40
315817.2
93017.9
710215.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54372060806240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.7
23.024.7
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 9.9
17.20.3
11.511.8
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Second
21.71.7
16.318.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 6.4
7102
#21
15.30.3
13.213.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
5716
#18
6.81.7
7.39.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End1.7
blue by 1.1
9301
#33
7.90.3
10.510.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed