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Red45
58878.4
43718.4
440323.4
Blue19
90654.2
95937.2
472313.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36331020304050604519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.9
14.215.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
red by 9.9
4723
#15
13.51.2
13.912.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Second
5887
#14
8.40.9
8.59.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End0.9
red by 1.2
9593
#43
7.21.2
7.66.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Third
4371
#16
8.40.9
9.510.4
Auto1.0
Teleop6.8
End0.6
red by 4.2
9065
#31
4.21.2
8.67.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed