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Red16
59327.6
87347.0
51338.6
Blue50
595917.3
47828.6
664713.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233701020305060701650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5133
#17
8.60.8
9.38.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
blue by 8.6
5959
#10
17.30.2
11.311.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Second
5932
#19
7.60.8
6.65.9
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.0
blue by 5.4
13.00.2
11.911.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
8734
#41
7.00.8
6.96.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 1.6
4782
#30
8.60.2
8.98.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed