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Red41
463527.1
58878.4
64839.5
Blue21
95937.2
90536.5
477510.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50250204060804121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.7
24.724.0
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 16.5
4775
#29
10.61.1
11.710.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Second
6483
#23
9.50.7
8.57.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.8
red by 2.3
9593
#43
7.21.1
6.35.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Third
5887
#14
8.40.7
9.38.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End0.9
red by 1.9
9053
#11
6.51.1
7.96.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed