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Red23
35268.8
43718.4
742121.7
Blue12
34727.9
59327.6
77254.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49150204060802312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.72.4
18.015.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 13.8
3472
#34
7.90.6
7.67.1
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Second
3526
#26
8.82.4
12.19.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End0.7
red by 1.2
5932
#19
7.60.6
5.95.3
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Third
4371
#16
8.42.4
10.48.0
Auto1.0
Teleop6.8
End0.6
red by 3.8
7725
#42
4.50.6
3.83.2
Auto0.8
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed