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Red21
47357.6
379410.4
601716.8
Blue29
90654.2
710215.3
61065.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32322025303540452129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.9
13.712.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
red by 1.5
7102
#21
15.30.0
13.513.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Second
3794
#35
10.40.9
7.56.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 4.5
6106
#22
5.90.0
7.87.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Third
4735
#27
7.60.9
8.17.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
red by 3.4
9065
#31
4.20.0
7.47.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed