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Red15
458411.8
66765.6
90536.5
Blue54
51338.6
594819.6
315817.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20450103040506070801554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4584
#24
11.80.7
8.07.3
Auto6.8
Teleop2.6
End2.4
blue by 7.8
19.60.3
17.617.9
Auto9.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Second
9053
#11
6.50.6
6.86.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 10.7
17.20.3
11.712.1
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Third
6676
#32
5.60.6
6.55.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.4
blue by 3.1
5133
#17
8.60.3
8.68.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed