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Red43
710215.3
51338.6
458411.8
Blue44
64839.5
347826.5
59327.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293802060804344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7102
#21
15.30.9
10.211.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 11.2
26.51.2
17.518.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
4584
#24
11.80.9
8.89.7
Auto6.8
Teleop2.6
End2.4
red by 2.3
6483
#23
9.51.2
7.68.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
5133
#17
8.60.9
8.18.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
red by 1.0
5932
#19
7.61.2
8.29.4
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed