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Red41
440020.3
68324.7
93017.9
Blue40
35268.8
594819.6
379410.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39322030504140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
20.30.8
15.015.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.9
red by 0.8
19.61.1
10.711.8
Auto9.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Second
9301
#33
7.90.8
9.710.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 2.5
3794
#35
10.41.1
9.210.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Third
6832
#38
4.70.8
9.510.2
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 4.0
3526
#26
8.81.1
9.911.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed