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Red40
75468.0
92827.6
594819.6
Blue55
601716.8
742121.7
58878.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36451020304050607080904055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.6
19.119.7
Auto9.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
blue by 2.1
21.71.5
17.619.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Second
7546
#37
8.00.6
7.48.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 8.8
16.81.3
15.416.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Third
9282
#36
7.60.6
7.07.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 0.9
5887
#14
8.41.3
6.88.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed