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Red65
463527.1
59327.6
352218.7
Blue24
34727.9
47357.6
66765.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5818040801006524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.5
25.326.8
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 19.2
3472
#34
7.90.8
6.35.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Second
18.71.5
16.317.8
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 11.1
4735
#27
7.60.8
8.47.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
5932
#19
7.61.5
6.17.6
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.0
red by 2.0
6676
#32
5.60.8
6.45.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned