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Red41
66527.5
77254.5
664713.0
Blue48
928012.1
315817.2
90536.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233901030506070804148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.00.7
12.212.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 4.2
17.20.4
16.016.4
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Second
6652
#28
7.50.8
6.57.2
Auto1.3
Teleop5.8
End0.4
blue by 4.6
9280
#13
12.10.4
11.411.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Third
7725
#42
4.50.7
3.94.5
Auto0.8
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 2.0
9053
#11
6.50.4
5.86.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed