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Red74
47828.6
347826.5
463527.1
Blue57
315817.2
352218.7
379410.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7345204060801007457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.2
27.227.4
Auto11.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
red by 8.4
18.70.2
18.018.2
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
26.50.2
26.526.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 9.3
17.20.2
16.616.8
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Third
4782
#30
8.60.2
8.78.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
blue by 1.8
3794
#35
10.40.2
9.79.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5