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Red76
742121.7
440323.4
34727.9
Blue36
601716.8
440020.3
75468.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495230406070807636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.6
20.721.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.0
red by 3.1
4400
#12
20.30.3
20.820.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End1.9
Second
21.70.6
18.719.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 4.9
16.80.3
17.216.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Third
3472
#34
7.90.6
5.25.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 0.1
7546
#37
8.00.3
8.48.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7